Currently, working papers are assigned a number based on the year and order they were recieved. Note that some of the abstract pages contain links to a pdf version of the paper if the paper was provided by the author(s). The papers that appear on this page were voluntarily submitted and are not refereed or reviewed in any way.
If you would like to list an abstract and/or paper at this site or if a paper on this list has been subsequently revised and/or accepted for publication, please notify us at butlerj@cob.ohio-state.edu so that this information can be added to the archive.
If you would like to obtain a free Adobe Acrobat Reader so that you may access the pdf versions of the complete papers, please click here.
Assigning subjective probabilities to event trees: Partition dependence and bias toward the ignorance prior, Craig R. Fox and Robert T. Clemen July 2004 |
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A Generative Bayesian Model for Aggregating Probabilities of Categorical Events, Joseph M. Kahn July 2004 |
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The Underlying Event Model for Approximating Probabilistic Dependence Among Binary Events, Donald L. Keefer May 2004 |
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Maximum Entropy Utility, Ali Abbas February 2004 (revised) |
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| WP030024 | Attribute Dominance Utility, Ali Abbas and Ronald A. Howard October 2003 (revised) |
| WP030023 | Utility Transversality: A Value-Based Approach, James E. Matheson and Ali AbbasOctober 2003 (revised) |
| WP030022 | Utility-Probability Duality, Ali Abbas and James E. Matheson October 2003 (revised) |
Group Decisions with Multiple Criteria, Manel Baucells and Rakesh K. Sarin February 2003 |
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Stochastic Dominance and Decision Weights: Theory and Experiments, Manel Baucells and Franz H. Heukamp |
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A New Perspective on Multiple Internal Rates of Return, Gordon B. Hazen June 2002 |
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Multiattribute Structure for QALYs, Gordon B. Hazen January 2003 |
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Javelin Diagrams: A Graphical Tool for Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis, James C. Felli and Gordon B. Hazen December 2002 |
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Including Technical and Security Risks in the Development of Information Systems: A Programmatic Risk Management Model, Robin Dillon-Merrill January 2003 |
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Toward a Consensus on Decision Aiding Language and Concepts, Rex Brown January 2003 |
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Environmental Regulation: Developments in Setting Requirements and Verifying Compliance, Rex Brown |
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Logic and Motivation in Risk Reserach: A Nuclear Waste Test Case, Rex Brown January 2003 |
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How “Decison Aid” Can Mislead Deciders Due to Conflicts of Interest, Rex Brown January 2003 |
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Decision Analysis and Rational Judgment: Structuring Knowledge, Values And Choice (preface to book), Rex Brown |
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An Examination of Risk and Ambiguity Aversion in Decisions Made by Dyads, L. Robin Keller, Rakesh K. Sarin, and Jayavel Sounderpandian February 2002 |
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The Shape of Incomplete Preferences, Robert F. Nau January 2003 |
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Uncertainty Aversion With Second-Order Utilities and Probabilities, Robert F. Nau December 2002 |
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On the Geometry of Nash Equilibria and Correlated Equilibria, Robert F. Nau, Sabrina Gomez Canovas and Pierre Hansen December 2002 |
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| WP030006 | A Generalization Of Pratt-Arrow Measure To Non-Expected-Utility Preferences And Inseparable Probability And Utility, Robert F. Nau September 2002 |
Debiasing Expert Overconfidence: A Bayesian Calibration Model, Robert T. Clemen and Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. June 2002 |
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Multiple Experts vs. Multiple Methods: Combining Correlation Assessments, Robert L. Winkler and Robert T. Clemen November 2002 |
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Optimal Allocation of Resources for Defense of Simple Series and Parallel Systems from Determined Adversaries, Vicki M. Bier and Vinod Abhichandani January 2003 |
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Enabling E-transactions with Multi-attribute Preference Models, John Butler, James Dyer, and Jianmin Jia January 2003 |
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An Empirical Investigation of the Assumptions of Risk-Value Models , John Butler, James Dyer, and Jianmin Jia July 2002 |
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| WP020002 | Summary of Decision Analysis Applications in the Operations Research Literature, 1990-2001, Donald L. Keefer, Craig W. Kirkwood and James L. Corner November 2002 |
Using a Bayesian Approach to Quantify Scale Compatibility Bias, Richard M. Anderson and Benjamin F. Hobbs, 2001 |
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| WP000008 | Managing an Incremental Commitment: An Analytic Challenge, Rex Brown 2000 |
| WP000007 | Predicting the Decision-aiding Value of Decision Research, Rex Brown January, 18, 2000 |
| WP000006 | Numerical and Verbal Decision Analysis Compared in Practice, Oleg Larichev, Rex Brown, Nick Flanders, Elena Andreyeva March 1998 |
| WP000005 | Managing Research to Evaluate if a Risk is Acceptable: Applied to Nuclear Waste Siting, Rex Brown February 2000 |
| WP000004 | Should Environmental Regulations Require Specific Action, Acceptable Risk, or Cost-effectiveness? Rex Brown |
| WP000003 | Fitting Decision Aids to an Instituional Context, Rex BrownFebruary 20, 1998 |
| WP000002 | Using Soft Data to Make "Probabilisitc Risk Assessments" Realistic, Rex Brown April 1999 |
| WP000001 | How Misused Decision Aids Mislead Policy Makers, Rex Brown June 9, 1999 |
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| WP990008 | Risk Tolerances for Quasi Syndicates and Publicly Held Firms, Peter Anselmo and James S. Dyer June, 1999 |
| WP990007 | Short-Term Variations and Long-Term Dynamics in Commodity Prices, Eduardo Schwartz and James E. Smith April 22, 1999 |
| WP990006 | Risk Sharing, Fiduciary Duty, and Corporate Risk Attitudes, James E. Smith March 7, 1999 |
| WP990005 | Separating Risk and Return in the CAPM: A General Utility-based Model, Christian S. Pedersen May 1999 |
| WP990004 | On the Characterisation of Investor Preferences by Changes in Wealth, Christian S. Pedersen and Steve E. Satchell April 23, 1999 |
| WP990002 | Utility Functions Whose Parameters Depend on Initial Wealth, Christian S. Pedersen and Steve E. Satchell 1999 |
| WP990001 | Risk, Utility and Switching Between Gambles, Christian S. Pedersen and Steve E. Satchell Decemeber 1997 |
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| WP980020 | Market Efficiency, Bounded Rationality, and Regulation of Supplemental Business Reporting Disclosures, J. Richard Dietrich, Steven J. Kachelmeier, Don N. Kleinmuntz, and Thomas J. LinsmeierJuly 1998 |
| WP980019 | "Do Sensitivity Analyses Really Capture Problem Sensitivity? An Empirical Analysis Based on Information Value, James C. Felli and Gordon B. Hazen March 1998 |
| WP980018 | Expected-Utility Preference Reversals in Information Acquisition, Gordon B. Hazen and Jayavel Sounderpandian May 1998 |
| WP980017 | Preference Summaries for Stochastic Tree Rollback, Gordon B. Hazen and Jayavel Sounderpandian June 1998 |
| WP980016 | Preference Factoring for Stochastic Trees, Gordon B. Hazen May 1998 |
| WP980015 | Factored Stochastic Tree Modeling forArthritic Joint Replacement Decisions" by Gordon B. Hazen, James M. Pellisier, and Rowland W. Chang June 1998 |
| WP980014 | PRIME - Preference Ratios in Multiattribute Evaluation, Ahti A. Salo and Raimo P. Hämäläinen December 1997 |
| WP980013 | How to Select Fair Improving Directions in a Negotiation Model over Continuous Issues, Harri Ehtamo, Markku Verkama, and Raimo P. HamalainenJune 1997 |
| WP980012 | Generating Pareto Solutions in Two-Party Negotiations by Adjusting Artificial Constraints, Harri Ehtamo, Raimo P. Hämäläinen, Pirja Heiskanen, Jeffrey Teich, Markku Verkama and Stanley Zionts November 1997 |
| WP980011 | "Decentralized method for computing Pareto solutions in multi-party negotiations, Pirja Heiskanen March 1998 |
| WP980010 | Indexes for Fixed and Flexible Environmental Target Setting – A Decision Analytical Perspective", Pauli Miettinen and Raimo P. HämäläinenFebruary 1998 |
| WP980009 | Behavioral and Procedural Consequences of Structural Variation in Value Trees, Mari Pöyhönen, Hans C. J. Vrolijk, and Raimo P. Hämäläinen November 1997 |
| WP980008 | On the Convergence of Multiattribute Weighting Methods, Mari Pöyhönen and Raimo P. Hämäläinen April 1997 |
| WP980007 | There is Hope in Attribute Weighting", Mari Pöyhönen and Raimo P. Hämäläinen March 1998 |
| WP980006 | An Experiment on the Numerical Modelling of Verbal Ratio Statements, Mari A. Pöyhönen, Raimo P. Hämäläinen and Ahti A. Salo 1997 |
| WP980005 | Notes on the Weighting Biases in Value Trees, Mari Pöyhönen and Raimo P. Hämäläinen 1998 |
| WP980004 | How to Benefit from Decision Analysis in Environmental Life Cycle Assessment (LCA)", by Pauli Miettinen and Raimo P. Hämäläinen1997 |
| WP980003 | Consequential Rationality, Procedural Rationality, and Optimal Nash Equilibrium, Marc LeMenestrel November 1997 |
| WP980002 | The Smart Organisation ,David Matheson and Jim Matheson December 1997 |
| WP980001 | The Underlying Event Model: A Simple Model for Approximating Probabilistic Dependence Among Binary Events, Donald L. Keefer August 1997 |
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| WP970013 | An Experimental Investigation of Forward-Looking Non-Financial Performance Disclosures, J. Richard Dietrich, Steven J. Kachelmeier, Don N. Kleinmuntz, and Thomas J. LinsmeierOctober 1997 |
| WP970012 | Correlations and Copulas for Decision and Risk Analysis, Robert T. Clemen and Terence Reilly March 1997 |
| WP970011 | Dependent Decision Analysis, Robert T. Clemen and Terence ReillyNovember 1996 |
| WP970010 | Does Decision Analysis Work: A Research Agenda, Robert T. Clemen April 1996 |
| WP970009 | Combining Probability Distributions from Experts in Risk Analysis, Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler October 27, 1997 |
| WP970008 | Simple Probabilistic Evaluation of Portfolio Strategies, William B. Poland October 4, 1997 |
| WP970007 | Relative Risk Value Models, Jianmin Jia andJames Dyer May 1996 |
| WP970006 | Risk-value theory, Jianmin Jia and James Dyer May 1997 |
| WP970005 | Measures of perceived risk, Jianmin Jia, James Dyer and John ButlerOctober 1997 |
| WP970004 | Generalized disappointment models, Jianmin Jia, James Dyer and John ButlerSeptmeber 1997 |
| WP970003 | Attribute weighting methods and decision quality in the presence of response error: A simulation study, Jianmin Jia, Gregory W. Fisher, and James Dyer April 1997 |
| WP970002 | A simulation technique for the sensitivity analysis of multi-criteria decision models, John Butler, Jianmin Jia, James DyerSeptember 1996 |
| WP970001 | A Multiattribute Utility Analysis of Alternatives for the Disposition of Surplus Weapons-grade Plutonium, by James Dyer, Thomas Edmunds, John Butler and Jianmin Jia May 23, 1997 |
Click here to access the Decision Analysis Working Paper abstracts from 1992-1995.
Click here to access the Helsinki University of Technology's complete paper, presentation and theses archive
Last Updated 2.25.04